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Resources
Why
Being A Copycat Investor Can Get You Hurt
by
Glenn Curtis
While
some investors are trailblazers and do their own research, many investors
attempt to mimic the portfolios of well-known investors, such
as Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway, in the hope of being
able to cash in on those investors' world-class returns. But
copying another investor's portfolio, particularly an institutional
investor's portfolio, can actually be quite dangerous. So, before
you jump on the copycat bandwagon, get to know the pitfalls
of this approach to investing.
An
Inability to Adequately Diversify Holdings
It is not uncommon for a major institutional investor,
such as a mutual fund, to own more than 100 stocks in a given
portfolio. Even Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett's investment
vehicle), which has a tendency to invest in fewer stocks as
opposed to more, owns shares in some 38 (as of June 30,
2008) different public companies!
Institutional
investors like Warren Buffett are able to spread their
risk over a number of companies so that if one particular company,
sector, industry, or even country hits a rough patch, there
are other investment holdings that may pick up the slack. Unfortunately,
most individual investors have neither the funds, nor the financial
wherewithal to ever achieve such diversification.
So
what do investors do when they realize that they cannot maintain
as many positions as an institutional investor?
Usually,
the individual investor will copy or mimic a small portion of
the institution's holdings (that is, heavily invest in some
holdings and ignore others entirely). Unfortunately, this is
where trouble can occur especially if one or more of those core
holdings heads south.
An individual investor's inability to adequately mimic
an institution's diversification profile and mitigate risk is
a major reason why many individuals fail to outperform major
mutual funds - even if they maintain similar holdings.
An
individual investor's inability to adequately mimic an
institution's diversification profile and mitigate risk is a
major reason why many individuals fail to outperform major mutual
funds - even if they maintain similar holdings.
Different Investment Horizons
Many people like to refer to themselves as longer-term
investors, but when it comes down to it, most investors want
to see results in the first 12 to 24 months that they own a
particular stock.
In fact, according to an often-cited November 2001 study
by Gavin Quill (a senior vice president and director of
research studies at Financial Research Corporation, a financial
services research and consulting firm), mutual fund holding
periods in 2000 were only about three years! That is well shy
of the more than 30 years that Berkshire Hathaway has owned
shares of Washington Post Company. In other words, on
average, institutions seem to have much more patience than their
individual-investor counterparts do.
In short, even if individual investors achieve diversification
similar to the institutions they are looking to mimic, they
might not be able afford or have the patience to sit on a given
investment for five or 10 years, as they may need to tap into
the funds to buy a home, to pay for school, to have children
or to take care of an emergency situation, and doing so may
adversely impact their investment performance.
Institutional Knowledge/Research
In spite of regulations meant to level the playing
field between individuals and institutions (such as Reg FD,
which outlines a company's disclosure responsibilities), institutions
often employ teams of seasoned industry analysts. These trained
experts typically have many contacts throughout the supply
chain and tend to have more frequent contact with a given company's
management team than the average individual investor.
Not surprisingly, this gives the institutional analysts a far
better idea of what is going on at a company or within a given
industry. In fact, it is almost impossible for the individual
to ever gain the upper hand when it comes to such knowledge.
This relative lack of knowledge about future earnings potential,
opportunities for growth, competitive forces, etc. can adversely
impact investment results. In fact, a lack of knowledge is another
major reason why many individual investors tend to underperform
mutual funds over time.
This is compounded by the fact that analysts can sit and wait
for new information, while the "average Joe" has to work and
attend to other matters. This creates a lag time for individual
investors, which can prevent them from getting in or out
of investments at the best possible moment.
Keeping
Tabs on Institutions Is Tough
Even if an individual has enough money to adequately diversify
him- or herself, the willingness to hold positions for an extended
period of time and the ability to accurately track and research
multiple companies, it is difficult to copy the actions of most
institutions.
Why? Because, unlike Berkshire Hathaway, many mutual funds buy
and sell stocks with great vigor throughout a given quarter.
In fact, take T. Rowe Price as an example. According to the
company's website, its Capital Opportunity Fund (which invests
primarily in domestic securities) has a turnover rate of
63.5 as of July 31, 2008. That's big. This makes positions
like these are hard to mimic because even if you had access
to databases that track institutional holdings the information
is usually updated on a quarterly basis.
What happens in between? Frankly, those looking to mimic the
institution's portfolio are left guessing, which is an extremely
risky strategy, particularly in a volatile market.
Trading Costs Can Be Huge, and Treatment May Vary
By definition, institutions such as mutual funds have
more money to invest than the average retail investor. Perhaps
not surprisingly, the fact that these funds have so much money
and conduct so many trades throughout the year causes retail
brokers who service these accounts to fawn over them.
Funds often receive favorable treatment. In fact, it's not uncommon
for some funds to be charged a penny (or in some cases a fraction
of a penny) per share to sell or purchase a large block of stock
whereas individual investors will typically pay 5-10 cents per
share.
In addition, even though there are rules to prevent this (and
time and sales stamps that prove when certain trade tickets
were entered), institutions often see their trades pushed ahead
of those of retail investors. This allows them to realize more
favorable entry and exit points.
In short, the odds are that the individual, regardless of his
or her wealth, will never be able to garner such preferential
treatment. Therefore, even if the individual was able to match an
institution in terms of holdings and diversification, the institution
would probably spend fewer dollars on trades throughout the
year, making its investment performance, on a net basis, better
overall.
Bottom Line
While it may sound good in theory to attempt to mimic
the investment style and profile of a successful institution,
it is often much harder (if not impossible) to do so in
practice. Institutional investors have resources and opportunities
that the individual investor cannot hope to match. Retail investors
may benefit more, in the long run, from an investment strategy
more suited to their means.
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